With fears on the rise, and amid major changes made by the Trump Administration, here's a look at where things stand.

Economic models spent much of 2025 flashing red, yet the year ended with a mix of solid growth, jittery factories, and stock indexes flirting with records. President Donald Trump called it proof that ...

The US economy grew at a much slower pace in the final months of 2025 as the historic government shutdown weighed on economic activity, ending a year that saw the weakest growth since the pandemic.

Building on Ben Bernanke’s widely used recession probability model, we invented a better model using exactly the same ...

Walmart WMT CFO John David Rainey doesn’t mince words, citing a “hiring recession,” rising student loan delinquencies and trade uncertainty as reasons for a cautious FY2027 outlook. Despite Walmart ...

The U.S. economy managed to navigate a volatile 2025 without collapsing, but the cumulative effects of ongoing trade tensions and persistent inflation keep concerns about a 2026 recession on some ...